About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
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Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Showing posts with label over valued. Show all posts
Showing posts with label over valued. Show all posts
Wednesday 19 February 2020
Stretched Market Valuations?
Labels:
over valued,
sp500,
stock market,
stock market crash,
valuations
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Monday 19 September 2016
Massive M top in Nifty completing and targeting 6000
Check out this chart on the Nifty from StockCharts.com. A massive M top has completed on the Nifty that targets 6000 long term. This incidentally coincides with a trailing P/E of over 24 which is suggestive of over valuation. Note the recent exhaustion candle much like in March 2015 from which the market fell 25%.
Labels:
india stock market,
investing,
nifty,
over valued,
p/e,
stock market,
trading
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Friday 24 July 2015
Indian Stock Market Nifty Index, Technical and Fundamental Snapshot
As we are well into 2016 I thought it would make sense to look at the technical and fundamental snapshot of the Indian stock market #Nifty index. First the technicals. For this I turn to Brahmesh at Brahmesh Technicals. The Nifty has had a bullish break out over the 8000 mark. It is now turning down from old highs near 9000:
Next the fundamentals, for this I turn to Sanjay Jaiswal at Market Pulse for the daily updated trailing #P/E ratio on the Nifty. As you can see below despite the recent fall it stood above 20.0. The market is obviously overvalued at an earnings yield of less than 5.5%:
Support: 8000
Taken together the market appears over extended and ready for a fall both on technical and fundamental grounds.
Next the fundamentals, for this I turn to Sanjay Jaiswal at Market Pulse for the daily updated trailing #P/E ratio on the Nifty. As you can see below despite the recent fall it stood above 20.0. The market is obviously overvalued at an earnings yield of less than 5.5%:
Support: 8000
Resistance: 8400
Taken together the market appears over extended and ready for a fall both on technical and fundamental grounds.
Nifty Fundamental and Technical Snapshot http://t.co/pvruEj2HB3 pic.twitter.com/efIXg4BfRD
— samuelR (@RajveerRawlin) September 6, 2015
Labels:
fibonacci,
fundamental,
indian stock market,
nifty,
NSE,
over valued,
p/e,
resistance,
support,
technical
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
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Market Insight
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My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
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Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.